Benzinga has announced a free virtual educational event scheduled for Thursday, Aug. 6, focused on helping investors transition from binary outcomes to market ranges.
The session, titled From Binary Outcomes to Ranges: Converting Opinions to Expectations, is designed to help participants move beyond binary thinking by exploring how to translate views on future outcomes into structured market expressions. Attendees will use prediction market frameworks to learn how to convert probabilities into prices, identify potential market edge, and better understand current market signals.
The presentation will introduce two specific contract structures: yes/no contracts, which express conviction around all-or-nothing outcomes, and plus or spread contracts, which capture directionally correct views across a range of potential outcomes. The discussion will also connect these concepts to the S&P 500 Index ecosystem, highlighting the role of liquidity and market structure in supporting these products.
The complimentary class is intended for various levels of experience, including new investors seeking a foundation in market pricing, individuals with developing experience looking for practical ways to interpret probabilities, and experienced investors interested in new approaches to evaluating risk and conviction.
The event will feature expert perspectives from Stacey Gilbert, senior director at The Options Institute, and Gianni Di Poce, an analyst at The Mercator LLC. Registration is available through the Benzinga website, though organizers noted that space is limited.
